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أوباما يتعامل مع الوضع في مصر على أنه أزمة اقتصادية فقط الولايات المتحدة دلَّلت مبارك وتكرر الخطأ نفسه مع مرسي

الأسلوب الذي مارسته الولايات المتحدة سابقا مع الرئيس المصري المخلوع حسني مبارك، تكرره اليوم مع محمد مرسي، معتقدة أن أزمة مصر اقتصادية فقط دون إدراك للأزمة
السياسية في البلاد.

An anti-Mursi protester chants anti-Mursi slogans during a protest in front of the gate of El-Quba in Cairo

تتعامل الولايات المتحدة مع مصر بوصفها مشكلة اقتصادية بالأساس وحثت القاهرة على التحرك بسرعة لتلبية مطالب صندوق النقد الدولي كي يشملها بقروضه. ولكن لا يمكن فصل الأزمة الاقتصادية في مصر عن أزمتها السياسية ، أو عن فشل حكومتها الحالية. وبينما يواجه اقتصاد مصر مصاعب وفإن النظام والانضباط يعيب أيضا، كون قادة البلاد خلال العامين الماضيين ـ اولا المجلس الأعلى للقوات المسلحة والآن الرئيس محمد مرسي ـ فشلوا في اطلاق عملية سياسية شاملة. والى ان يطلقوا مثل هذه العملية وبالتالي لن تُجدي قروض من صندوق النقد الدولي مهما بلغ حجمها.

وقال روبرت كيغان الباحث في معهد بروكنز للأبحاث وميشيل دان مديرة مركز رفيق الحريري للشرق الأوسط في مؤسسة “اتلانتك كاونسل” في مقال في صحيفة واشنطن بوست إن على الرئيس اوباما ووزير الخارجية جون كيري ان يوليا مصر اهتمامهما الآن. فان اكبر البلدان العربية سكانا ورمز الربيع العربي تواجه أزمة اقتصادية محدقة وانهيارا واسع النطاق في القانون والنظام ، بما في ذلك تفشي الجريمة والاغتصاب. وكلاهما سيجهضان جهود مصر المتعثرة لبناء ديمقراطية وطيدة.
morsi kissing nejadi
مرسي لم يتعلم معنى القيادة
ويوضح الكاتبان أنه رغم فوز مرسي بفارق ضئيل في الصيف الماضي لكنه لم يتعلم حتى الآن معنى القيادة في مجتمع ديمقراطي. فان جماعة الاخوان المسلمين التي خرج من عباءتها اكبر قوة سياسية في مصر ولكنها لا تتمتع بتأييد أغلبية الشعب. وهي لا يمكن ، ببساطة ، ان تفرض ارادتها على الشعب ، وخاصة على شعب ما زال متحفزا بروح الثورة. وليس بمقدور مرسي ان يتصدى لمهمات ملحة مثل خفض الدعم المسرف لأسعار المحروقات واصلاح وزارة الداخلية وقوات الشرطة الفاسدة في وقت تناصبه قطاعات واسعة من الشعب العداء وتكون مستعدة للنزول الى الشوارع ردا على أدنى استفزاز.

ويرى الكاتبان أنه في ظل حكم مرسي أصبح المجتمع المصري مستقطَبا بين اسلاميين وغير اسلاميين. ومرر مرسي ، مثيرا حفيظة المعارضة اواخر العام الماضي ، دستورا جديدا لا يتضمن حماية وافية لحقوق المرأة وغير المسلمين وترك امكانية اشراف رجال الدين على العملية التشريعية مفتوحة. وإذ تجاهل مرسي الاحتجاجات على اختلال العملية التي كُتب ومُرر بها الدستور فانه يمضي قدما نحو اجراء انتخابات برلمانية بموجب قانون انتخابي تعترض عليه المعارضة. وفي هذه الأثناء شنت حكومته حملة ملاحقات ضد الصحافيين ووجهت تهما مشكوكا في مسوغاتها ضد قادة المعارضة وفرضت قيودا على حق الاحتجاج. وتدرس الحكومة اصدار قانون يحد من أنشطة المنظمات غير الحكومية حتى أكثر مما كان يفعل حسني مبارك.
Egyptians opposing President Mohamed Mursi hold an effigy mocking him in Tahrir square in Cairo
معارضة منقسمة
وبادرت احزاب المعارضة العلمانية التي تزداد يأسا الى تشكيل جبهة الانقاذ الوطني ولكنها تحت السطح منقسمة بين من يريدون حمل مرسي على التوافق ومن يريدون اجباره على التنحي. ورغم ان الغالبية تؤيد الاصلاحات الاقتصادية اللازمة للحصول على قرض من صندوق النقد الدولي فان كثيرين يشعرون ان عليهم تعبئة الشارع ضد أي اجراء يتخذه مرسي.
morsi bread 5
والنتيجة انه في وقت تقف مصر على شفا الافلاس ـ لديها من الاحتياطي النقدي ما يكفي ثلاثة اشهر فقط لدفع أثمان ما تستورده من أغذية ومحروقات ـ تشتبك الحكومة والمعارضة في “لعبة عض الأصابع”. والاقتصاد يغرق والنزاع السياسي يتصاعد والوضع الأمني يتردي.
Ikhwan Obama and Clinton
وكان رد واشنطن على الأزمة التعامل وكأن كل شيء طبيعي من حيث الأساس. ومثلما تشبثت الولايات المتحدة في السابق بمبارك فان ادارة اوباما أخذت تتقرب من مرسي مقترحة عليه زيارة واشنطن ومستمرة في تقديم مساعدات عسكرية تبلغ 1.3 مليار دولار سنويا ، بضمنها شحنة أخيرة من طائرات اف ـ 16. والتزمت الادارة جانب الصمت على البلطجة الأغلبوية التي يمارسها مرسي. وتعتقد المعارضة المصرية ومنظمات مستقلة لحقوق الانسان ، على نحو مفهوم ، ان واشنطن عادت الى تجاهل الممارسات اللاديمقراطية ما دامت الحكومة المصرية تحمي المصالح الاستراتيجية الاميركية. وباستثناء فتح قنوات جديدة للتواصل مع جماعة الاخوان المسلمين الحاكمة ، لم تكن هناك إعادة تقييم اساسية للسياسة الاميركية تجاه مصر منذ الاطاحة بمبارك في عام 2011. وما زالت حزم مساعداتنا العسكرية والاقتصادية على وضعها ـ سوى ان ما يُقدم من مساعدات لتدعيم الديمقراطية والمجتمع المدني كلها تقريبا قُطعت.
An Egyptian bangs a pot as he protests against the high prices of goods in Tahrir square in Cairo
مقاربة جديدة
وقال الكاتبان أنه آن الأوان لاعتماد مقاربة جديدة. وأن على الادارة والكونغرس ان يقوما بمراجعة كاملة للمساعدات العسكرية والاقتصادية التي تُقدم الى مصر. وأضافا:”فما الذي يحتاجه الجيش المصري لتحقيق الأمن في سيناء؟ على الأرجح ليس طائرات اف ـ 16. وما هي الشروط التي ينبغي ان يفرضها الكونغرس على المساعدات؟ كانت حزم المساعدات السابقة تُربط على الوجه المطلوب بشرط تحقيق تقدم نحو الديمقراطية ولكن الادارة أصرت على إعفاء الحكومة المصرية من هذا الشرط لأسباب تتعلق بالأمن القومي واستمرت في تجاهله لتقديم المساعدات بصرف النظر عن سلوك مصر. ولعل المطلوب من الكونغرس إلا يجيز مثل هذه الإعفاء في مشروع القانون المقبل بشأن المساعدات”.
morsi bread 6
ويرى الكاتبان أنه من الأفضل تأجيل الدعوة لزيارة مرسي المقررة الى واشنطن الى ان يبدي التزاما صادقا بالعمل مع سائر قطاعات المجتمع المصري ومنح حرية حقيقية لسائر المواطنين. ويعني هذا دعم قانون يستوفي المعايير الدولية بشأن تنظيم المجتمع الدولي وتمكين المنظمات الرقابية من العمل بحرية واخيرا حل الوضع المثير للجدل للمنظمات غير الحكومية الأجنبية والممولة من الخارج. وهو يعني انهاء ملاحقة الصحافيين والمعارضين والالتزام باصلاح الشرطة ومحاسبتها والتوصل الى توافق على قضايا حاسمة مثل الدستور والقانون الانتخابي.
morsi the devil
كانت الولايات المتحدة ارتكبت خطأ استراتيجيا بتدليل مبارك على امتداد سنوات وتمخض رفضه الاصلاح عن ثورة ميدان التحرير. واليوم يتكرر الخطأ نفسه مع مرسي في هذه اللحظة الدقيقة. وعلى الولايات المتحدة ان تستخدم كل خياراتها ـ المساعدات العسكرية والاقتصادية والنفوذ الاميركي لدى صندوق النقد الدولي وغيره من مؤسسات الاقراض الدولية ـ لاقناع مرسي بالتوافق مع السياسيين العلمانيين وقادة المجتمع المدني حول قضايا حقوق الانسان من اجل اعادة بناء الأمن وتحريك عجلة الاقتصاد.

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U.S. needs to show Egypt some tough love

By Robert Kagan and Michele Dunne,

An anti-Mursi protester chants anti-Mursi slogans during a protest in front of the gate of El-Quba in Cairo
President Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry need to pay attention to Egypt — now. The most populous Arab country, poster child of the Arab Spring, faces a looming economic crisis and a widespread breakdown in law and order, including increasingly prevalent crime and rape. Either will cripple Egypt’s faltering effort to become a stable democracy.
Ikhwan Obama and Clinton
The Obama administration has treated Egypt primarily as an economic problem and has urged Cairo to move quickly to satisfy International Monetary Fund (IMF) demands to qualify for financing. But there is no separating Egypt’s economic crisis from its political crisis — or from the failures of its current government. Egypt’s economy is struggling, and disorder is rampant primarily because the country’s leaders the past two years — first the Supreme Council of the Armed Forces, now President Mohamed Morsi — have failed to build an inclusive political process. Until they do, no amount of IMF funding will make a difference.
Although Morsi won a narrow victory last summer, he has yet to learn what it means to lead in a democratic society. His Muslim Brotherhood is Egypt’s strongest political force, but it does not command a majority of public support. It cannot simply force its will on the nation, especially one still aroused by the spirit of revolution. Morsi can hardly take on urgent tasks, such as the cutting of wasteful fuel subsidies and the reformation of a corrupt interior ministry and police force, when much of the country is against him and ready to take to the streets at the least provocation.
morsi kissing nejadi
Under Morsi’s rule, Egyptian society has become polarized between Islamists and non-Islamists. Enraging the political opposition late last year, he railroaded through a new constitution that contains inadequate protections for the rights of women and non-Muslims and leaves open the possibility of Islamic clerical oversight of legislation. Ignoring protests about the flawed process by which the constitution was drafted and passed, Morsi is moving ahead to legislative elections based on an electoral law to which the opposition objects. Meanwhile, his government has cracked down on journalists, brought spurious charges against opposition leaders and limited the right to public protests. It is considering legislation that would constrain the activities of non-governmental organizations even more than Hosni Mubarak did.

Egyptians opposing President Mohamed Mursi hold an effigy mocking him in Tahrir square in Cairo
The increasingly desperate secular opposition parties have formed a “National Salvation Front,” but under the surface they are divided between those who want to force Morsi to compromise and those who want to force him from power. Even though most favor the economic reforms necessary to get an IMF loan, many feel they must mobilize street protests against any Morsi action.

The result is that, with Egypt at the edge of bankruptcy — it has enough reserves to pay for only three more months of food and fuel imports — the government and the opposition are locked in a game of chicken. The economy is sinking, political conflict is rising and the security situation is deteriorating.

morsi bread 5
Washington’s response to this crisis has largely been business as usual. Just as the United States once clung to Mubarak, the Obama administration has hewed closely to Morsi, offering a visit to Washington and continuing to deliver the annual $1.3 billion in military assistance — including a recent shipment of F-16 aircraft. The administration’s response to Morsi’s majoritarian bullying has been muted. Egypt’s opposition and nonpartisan human rights groups believe, understandably, that Washington has resumed ignoring undemocratic practices so long as the Egyptian government protects U.S. strategic interests. Outside of opening new contacts with the ruling Muslim Brotherhood, there has been no fundamental reassessment of U.S. policy toward Egypt since Mubarak’s removal in 2011. Our military and economic aid packages remain the same — except that nearly all democracy and civil-society assistance has been cut off.
morsi bread 6

It’s time for a new approach. Both the administration and Congress need to fully review military and economic assistance to Egypt. What does the Egyptian army need to bring security to the Sinai? Probably not F-16s. What conditions should Congress place on aid? Previous packages have appropriately been conditioned on progress toward democracy, but the administration has insisted on a national security waiver and has exercised it to provide the aid regardless of Egypt’s behavior. Perhaps Congress should not permit such a waiver in the next aid bill.
As for Morsi’s planned trip to Washington, it would be better to hold that invitation until he demonstrates a sincere commitment to working with all of Egyptian society and allowing genuine freedom to all citizens. That means supporting a law that meets international standards on regulating civil society, allowing watchdog organizations to operate freely and finally resolving the controversial status of foreign and foreign-funded NGOs. It means ending the persecution of journalists and opposition figures, committing to reform the police and hold them accountable and building a consensus on such critical matters as the constitution and electoral law.
morsi the devil
The United States made a strategic error for years by coddling Mubarak, and his refusal to carry out reforms produced the revolution of Tahrir Square. We repeat the error by coddling Morsi at this critical moment. The United States needs to use all its options — military aid, economic aid and U.S. influence with the IMF and other international lenders — to persuade Morsi to compromise with secular politicians and civil-society leaders on political and human rights issues to rebuild security and get the economy on track.

Robert Kagan is a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution and a monthly columnist for The Post. Michele Dunne is director of the Rafik Hariri Center for the Middle East at the Atlantic Council. They are co-chairs of the bipartisan Working Group on Egypt.

Washington Post Published: February 20
Photos added By Liberal life styles

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In Solidarity with the people of Port Said, Egypt SOS Obama and CIA,You Brought the Ikhwan put them back to their cages, SOS, CIA + في التضامن مع شعب بورسعيد، مصر أوباما

Ikhwan Obama and Clinton
جلبت لنا الإخوان اوضعها من جديد في أقفاصها Obama you let loose the Ikhwan Put them back in their cages where they belong.

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مظاهرة بالونات تحمل برسائل استغاثة في بورسعيد أكدوا استمرارهم في العصيان المدني ورفضهم “رشوة الرئيس” بإعادة المنطقة الحرة

port said sos 2
اتجهت مظاهرة من شباب الألتراس المصري، الأربعاء، إلى الممشى الملاحي لقناة السويس حاملين بالونات كبيرة مكتوب عليها رسائل استغاثة للعالم من خلال السفن العابرة للقناة.
port said strike 2
يأتي ذلك فيما أعلن ألتراس “جرين إيجلز” المصري استمرار العصيان المدني دون توقف حتى تتم تلبية مطالب أبناء بورسعيد، وأنهم يرفضون رشوة الرئيس المصري بعودة

المنطقة الحرة لبورسعيد.
ونظم حوالي 150 محامياً مظاهرة حاشدة بدأت من مقرّ محكمة بورسعيد ناحية شارع صفية زغلول، ثم عادوا إلى ميدان الشهداء للالتحام مع مئات المواطنين بميدان الشهداء.
Port said SOS
وكانت مظاهرة نسائية قد خرجت من مقر كفالة اليتيم ببورسعيد وسارت بهتافات ضد الرئيس مرسي وجماعته، ومرت المظاهرة على المصالح الحكومية بالمحافظة من ضرائب بورسعيد والشؤون الاجتماعية وحي الضواحي وحي العرب، وسارت المظاهرة التي تقدمتها والدة شهيد يوم 29 يناير 2011 محمد التميمي.

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Egypt’s Port Said strike enters day four despite cash pledge they tell Morsi to shove it.

Striking & civil disobedience have crippled Port-Said city for the 4th day, but Egypt state media barley discusses the issue.
port said sos 2
Port Said Demonstrators Wearing SOS Ballons along the Suez Canal to alert International media to their plight.
A strike in Port Said entered its fourth day on Wednesday as Egyptian demonstrators demanding justice for protesters killed by police shrugged off a government pledge to inject money into the canal city.

Most factories and government offices remained closed, along with a Suez Canal port, witnesses said.
Protesters flew large balloons inscribed with “SOS” over the strategic water route linking the Mediterranean with the Red Sea. Canal officials say traffic through the passage has not been affected.
The protesters are demanding justice for at least 40 demonstrators killed in clashes with police in late January after a court sentenced 21 Port Said soccer fans to death over a deadly football riot last year.
President Mohamed Morsi, who called in the army and declared emergency law in Port Said after January’s violence, pledged on Tuesday to reserve 400 million Egyptian pounds ($59.4 million) of canal revenues for Port Said.
port said strike 2
Morsi will also present a law to senate, which acts as the legislature pending parliamentary elections, on reopening a free trade zone in the city, a statement from his office said.
Port said SOS
Residents of Port Said and other canal cities have long complained that Cairo marginalised them.
Last year’s football riot which killed 74 people, mostly supporters of a visiting Cairo team, exacerbated Port Said’s isolation, they say.
January’s clashes coincided with the second anniversary of a popular uprising that overthrew president Hosni Mubarak, bringing in a period of military rule and then Morsi’s election last June.

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More, More More – Andrea True Connection

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Don’t feed the (polar) bears

polar bear 1

John D. Sutter
CNN) — Here’s a seriously depressing question:
If a polar bear no longer has ice to stand on and must have his “bear kibble” (that’s a real term; more on it soon) airlifted to the Arctic by helicopter, is he still a polar bear? Or is he some sort of zoo-like experiment — a sad but perhaps unavoidable consequence of an era of melting ice and warming climates?
I posed a less-wordy version of that question to Andrew Derocher, a biologist and polar bear expert at the University of Alberta. He recently published a paper outlining several emergency actions that likely will have to be taken soon to save the Arctic bears.
Among Derocher’s scenarios is using helicopters to airdrop food on polar bears as their icy habitat continues to melt — at a cost of $32,000 per day for the “most accessible” bears. (The hope is that such interventions would last days per year, not months).

“It’s a lot better to have some animals in the wild even if they are being supplemented in their food. If we were basically the sole food source for these animals, then we’re going to have some very serious issues. Then it won’t really be a polar bear anymore,” Derocher said on the phone. “It will be a semi-wild, semi-captive, free-ranging carnivore. And it probably wouldn’t do that well even if the ice started to come back” since the bear would become so dependent on the airlifted food that he may forget how to hunt.
(Sigh). It’s really come to this.
polar bear 2
Derocher’s paper, which appeared in the journal Conservation Letters, has been getting lots of attention because it outlines several last-ditch ideas for saving the polar bears, including feeding them bear chow, which, as one commercial website describes it, contains “ground corn, porcine meat meal, fish meal (menhaden), dehulled soybean meal, corn gluten meal, ground soybean hulls, porcine animal fat preserved with BHA, dried beet pulp, soybean oil, taurine, salt” and a bunch of stuff I can’t pronounce. It’s packaged sort of like cat food.

2012: Polar bear milestone 2011: Large polar bear gathering
His other ideas: Moving the bears northward, where the ice is less likely to melt; euthanizing some of the bears, which he writes “may be the most humane option for individual bears in very poor condition that are unlikely to survive”; and moving some of the polar bears to zoos.
None of those options is easy to stomach — and not just because of the “porcine meat meal.” Derocher knows that. He doesn’t want to have to feed the polar bears, much less euthanize them. After 30 years of researching the Arctic bears, he’s just being realistic.
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As the planet warms, thanks to our gas-guzzling cars and power-producing factories, the polar bear’s frozen habitat is disappearing. Arctic sea ice has been declining at a rate of 13% per decade since 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center. Many scientists expect summer sea ice to disappear in a matter of decades. Polar bears live and hunt from sea ice. If it’s gone, they can’t catch seals, which tend to stay far from land. And if the bears can’t catch seals, they can’t survive. There’s no other way around it.
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Unless, maybe, you airdrop some food on them.
But even then, something of the bear’s essence is lost.
“It’s ridiculous, human beings feeding polar bears. Polar bears are wild animals,” James Eetoolook, vice president of an Inuit group in Canada’s Nunavut told The Canadian Press. “They’re predators. They’re hunters. Let them be.”
“I wouldn’t say I’m ‘against’ it, just skeptical about how much good it will do to them,” one commenter wrote on my Google+ page when I asked about the subject. “I’m afraid that in our haste to do good we might do more harm in the long run.”

It’s easy to have a whiplash reaction: Don’t feed the polar bears. It’s very Yogi, as Derocher put it. But such plans, while tragic, may be unavoidable at this point.
The fact that such an idea is even up for consideration should be a major wake-up call — a reminder that climate change is real and happening now. While some of its effects are inevitable (some polar bear habitat absolutely will be lost, Derocher said), there are longer-term solutions that could help save some of the polar-bear-ness of the polar bear. Or at the very least, Derocher said, they’re ideas that could save them from extinction.
The solutions are all things you’ve heard before: cut carbon dioxide emissions, use less power, walk don’t drive, live more efficiently.
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It’s not rocket science (or, as one Twitter user recently suggested as a replacement for that phrase, “it’s not corporate income-tax law”), but it will take a huge amount of political will in the United States and elsewhere to make substantive changes.
That seems to exist. In his State of the Union address, President Barack Obama called for action on climate change “for the sake of our children and our future.” Some 35,000 people gathered in Washington last weekend to make similar points. Organizers said it was the largest demonstration of its kind in the United States.
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Meanwhile, none of the five countries with polar bears — the United States, Norway, Russia, Canada or Greenland — has a plan for responding to polar bear emergencies “caused by nutritional stress,” the scientists write in the recent paper, which is titled “Rapid ecosystem change and polar bear conservation.”

When we act and how may determine how quickly the species disappears. Current projections don’t look good. Researchers from the U.S. Geological Survey have estimated that two-thirds of polar bears will be gone by 2050. For the Arctic ice melt to make sense, all you have to do is watch this YouTube video, from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, which shows the puny extent of sea ice in 2012 compared with the historical average.
With all that as the backdrop, feeding polar bears doesn’t sound so crazy, however sad and potentially irreversible it may be. And such programs do exist for other species, Derocher said, including California condors, black bears in Washington state and brown bears in Eastern Europe.
“We’re at the point where we’re going to be implementing some of these scenarios in some parts of the Arctic,” he said, “without doubt.
“Bears just aren’t as fat as they used to be,” he said, which makes them less able to live through low-sea-ice years. “It’s very clear when you look at the data and when you just look at the animals. A lot of them just don’t have that much gas left in their tank.”
I asked Derocher what drives him. He said he’s not a sentimental person — he doesn’t get attached to an individual polar bear the way he does to his golden retriever. But when you’re in the Arctic and you see how much the bears are struggling, it’s hard not to care about them as a group — to want to do something to preserve their wild power.
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“I’m still optimistic that humans will decide to deal with greenhouse gases in a realistic fashion,” he said.
To illustrate why that’s important, he pointed me to an online video that shows the death of a young polar bear cub. It’s linked here but, as a Mother Jones writer put it, “Be forewarned: this is graphic and ghastly.” I wouldn’t watch it unless you absolutely feel the need to do so. What’s more important is Derocher’s reaction. For him, the video echoed his experiences in the Arctic, surveying bears that are struggling because of sea ice melt.
“When you watch that,” he said, “you have to, I think, be pretty hardhearted to think that maybe humans aren’t treading a little too heavily on this planet.”

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The Best Pub for Free Drinks

A Scottish man, an Englishman and an Irishman sit in a pub and discuss the best pubs around.

The Englishman says, “There’s a pub in the West Midlands where the landlord buys you a drink for every one that you buy.”

The Scot is not impressed and says, “That’s nothing! In the Highlands, every time you buy a drink, the landlord buys you five.”
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The Irishman, totally unimpressed, says, “That’s nothing. In Dublin there’s this pub where the landlord buys your drinks all night, and then when the bar closes, he takes you into a room and makes love to you.”

The Scot and Englishman are well impressed and ask if the Irishman goes there a lot. He replies “No, but my sister told me all about it.”

Fucking in the storage room brought to you by PornHub

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Posted in Beautiful Women, Comedy & Jokes, Couples, SEXY, Videos, مزز عريا وبالملابس | Comments Off